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SCO Scotland League One · Round 1 ·

Airdrieonians vs East Kilbride

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier42%
Uavgjort26%
Borteseier32%
Baseline forecastHjemmeseierTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier42% selection probability
Projected score1–1AirdrieoniansEast Kilbride
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
42% / 26% / 32%KampresultatHjemmeseier42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Dobbel sjanse1273.9%1.35
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 53% · Nei 47%Begge lag scorerJa53%1.89
2.63 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Airdrieonians win42%2.38
Uavgjort26%3.85
East Kilbride win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Airdrieonians1.42

Hjemme share of expected goals 54%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

East Kilbride1.21

Borte share of expected goals 46%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nei 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Airdrieonians

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

East Kilbride

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.42
Expected goals
1.21
AirdrieoniansEast Kilbride
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Airdrieonians signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02East Kilbride signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Airdrieonians vs East Kilbride FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Airdrieonians vunnet 42%,Uavgjort 26%,East Kilbride vunnet 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under