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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Fixture ·

Guarani U20 vs Agua Santa U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Away form
Home win58%
Draw23%
Away win19%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Guarani U20Agua Santa U20
Expected goals3.08Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
58% / 23% / 19%Match resultHome win58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Agua Santa U20 win (18.6%)Double chance1X81.4%1.23
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
3.08 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapGuarani U20 winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guarani U20 win58%1.721.6056.1%+1.9 pp
Draw23%4.353.7523.9%-0.9 pp
Agua Santa U20 win19%5.264.5020%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guarani U202.44

Home share of expected goals 79.2%

Total expected goals3.08Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Agua Santa U200.64

Away share of expected goals 20.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Guarani U20

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Agua Santa U20

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Win probability excluding draw
19%
15
Points from supplied form
5
2.44
Expected goals
0.64
Guarani U20Agua Santa U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guarani U20 signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Agua Santa U20 signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Guarani U20 vs Agua Santa U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guarani U20 win 58%,Draw 23%,Agua Santa U20 win 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over