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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Spiel ·

Guarani U20 vs Água Santa U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg58%
Unentschieden23%
Auswärtssieg19%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Guarani U20Água Santa U20
Expected goals3.08Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
58% / 23% / 19%SpielergebnisHeimsieg58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Água Santa U20 win (18.6%)Doppelte Chance1X81.4%1.23
Über 60% · Unter 40%Goals 2.5Über60%1.67
Ja 43% · Nein 57%Beide Teams treffenNein57%1.75
3.08 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapGuarani U20 winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guarani U20 win58%1.721.6056.1%+1.9 pp
Unentschieden23%4.353.7523.9%-0.9 pp
Água Santa U20 win19%5.264.5020%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guarani U202.44

Heim share of expected goals 79.2%

Total expected goals3.08Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 60% · Unter 40%

Água Santa U200.64

Auswärts share of expected goals 20.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nein 57%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Guarani U20

3.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkte15

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Água Santa U20

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
19%
15
Points from supplied form
5
2.44
Expected goals
0.64
Guarani U20Água Santa U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guarani U20 signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Água Santa U20 signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Guarani U20 vs Água Santa U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guarani U20 Gewinn 58%,Unentschieden 23%,Água Santa U20 Gewinn 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Über 2.5 60% · Current selection Über