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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Final ·

Guaraní sub-20 vs Agua Santa sub-20

Prediction review

Local form
Final score2–0Pronóstico 2–1
Visitante form
Victoria local58%
Empate23%
Victoria visitante19%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 58% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Guaraní sub-20Agua Santa sub-20
Expected goals3.08Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de60% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
58% / 23% / 19%Resultado del partidoVictoria local58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Agua Santa sub-20 win (18.6%)Doble Oportunidad1X81.4%1.23
Más de 60% · Menos de 40%Goals 2.5Más de60%1.67
Sí 43% · No 57%Ambos equipos marcanNo57%1.75
3.08 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapGuaraní sub-20 winDifference+1.9 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guaraní sub-20 win58%1.721.6056.1%+1.9 pp
Empate23%4.353.7523.9%-0.9 pp
Agua Santa sub-20 win19%5.264.5020%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guaraní sub-202.44

Local share of expected goals 79.2%

Total expected goals3.08Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 60% · Menos de 40%

Agua Santa sub-200.64

Visitante share of expected goals 20.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 43% · No 57%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Guaraní sub-20

3.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puntos15

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Agua Santa sub-20

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Ganado probability excluding draw
19%
15
Points from supplied form
5
2.44
Expected goals
0.64
Guaraní sub-20Agua Santa sub-20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guaraní sub-20 signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Agua Santa sub-20 signalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Guaraní sub-20 vs Agua Santa sub-20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guaraní sub-20 ganada 58%,Empate 23%,Agua Santa sub-20 ganada 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Más de 2.5 60% · Current selection Más de