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BEL Belgique - 1re division B · Round 1 ·

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk vs Gent II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.86 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile52%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur21%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile52% selection probability
Projected score2–1KFCO Beerschot WilrijkGent II
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de54% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
52% / 26% / 21%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gent II win (21.5%)Double chance1X78.5%1.27
Plus de 54% · Moins de 46%Goals 2.5Plus de54%1.85
Oui 52% · Non 48%Les deux équipes marquentOui52%1.92
2.86 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk win52%1.92
Nul26%3.85
Gent II win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk1.95

Domicile share of expected goals 68.2%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 54% · Moins de 46%

Gent II0.91

Extérieur share of expected goals 31.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 52% · Non 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Gent II

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gagné probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.95
Expected goals
0.91
KFCO Beerschot WilrijkGent II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gent II signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk vs Gent II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk victoire 52%,Nul 26%,Gent II victoire 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Plus de 2.5 54% · Current selection Plus de