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BEL Белгия - Първа Дивизия Б · Round 1 ·

Беершот Вилрийк vs Гент 2

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.86 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина63%
Равен22%
Победа за госта15%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина63% selection probability
Projected score2–1Беершот ВилрийкГент 2
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
63% / 22% / 15%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Гент 2 win (15%)Двоен шанс1X85%1.18
Над 54% · Под 46%Goals 2.5Над54%1.85
Да 52% · Не 48%И двата отбора да отбележатДа52%1.92
2.86 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Беершот Вилрийк win63%1.591.4262.8%+0.2 pp
Равен22%4.554.0022.3%-0.3 pp
Гент 2 win15%6.676.0014.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Беершот Вилрийк1.95

Домакин share of expected goals 68.2%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 54% · Под 46%

Гент 20.91

Гост share of expected goals 31.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 52% · Не 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Беершот Вилрийк

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Точки9

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Гент 2

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
15%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.95
Expected goals
0.91
Беершот ВилрийкГент 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Беершот Вилрийк signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Гент 2 signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Беершот Вилрийк vs Гент 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Беершот Вилрийк печеливш 63%,Равен 22%,Гент 2 печеливш 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Над 2.5 54% · Current selection Над