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BEL Belgium First Division B · Round 1 ·

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk vs Gent II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.86 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier63%
Uavgjort22%
Borteseier15%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier63% selection probability
Projected score2–1KFCO Beerschot WilrijkGent II
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
63% / 22% / 15%KampresultatHjemmeseier63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gent II win (15%)Dobbel sjanse1X85%1.18
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Ja 52% · Nei 48%Begge lag scorerJa52%1.92
2.86 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk win63%1.591.4262.8%+0.2 pp
Uavgjort22%4.554.0022.3%-0.3 pp
Gent II win15%6.676.0014.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk1.95

Hjemme share of expected goals 68.2%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Gent II0.91

Borte share of expected goals 31.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nei 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poeng9

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Gent II

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
15%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.95
Expected goals
0.91
KFCO Beerschot WilrijkGent II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gent II signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk vs Gent II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk vunnet 63%,Uavgjort 22%,Gent II vunnet 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over