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BEL Belgia - First Division B · Round 1 ·

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk vs Gent II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.86 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy52%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości21%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy52% selection probability
Projected score2–1KFCO Beerschot WilrijkGent II
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej54% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
52% / 26% / 21%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gent II win (21.5%)Podwójna szansa1X78.5%1.27
Powyżej 54% · Poniżej 46%Goals 2.5Powyżej54%1.85
Tak 52% · Nie 48%Obie drużyny strzeląTak52%1.92
2.86 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.4 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk win52%1.92
Remis26%3.85
Gent II win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk1.95

Gospodarze share of expected goals 68.2%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 54% · Poniżej 46%

Gent II0.91

Goście share of expected goals 31.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 52% · Nie 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkty9

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Gent II

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.95
Expected goals
0.91
KFCO Beerschot WilrijkGent II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gent II signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk vs Gent II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk wygrana 52%,Remis 26%,Gent II wygrana 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Powyżej 2.5 54% · Current selection Powyżej