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ITA Italie - Série C - Groupe B · Match ·

Perugia vs AS Ostia Mare

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile48%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur24%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 48% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile48% selection probability
Projected score1–1PerugiaAS Ostia Mare
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de60% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
48% / 28% / 24%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AS Ostia Mare win (24.4%)Double chance1X75.6%1.32
Plus de 40% · Moins de 60%Goals 2.5Moins de60%1.67
Oui 46% · Non 54%Les deux équipes marquentNon54%1.85
2.30 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Perugia win48%2.081.8548.4%
Nul28%3.573.2028%
AS Ostia Mare win24%4.173.8023.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Perugia1.35

Domicile share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 40% · Moins de 60%

AS Ostia Mare0.95

Extérieur share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 46% · Non 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Perugia

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

AS Ostia Mare

0.00pts / match
Joués2Wins0Drawn0Losses2Points0

SignalExtérieur failed to score: 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gagné probability excluding draw
24%
6
Points from supplied form
0
1.35
Expected goals
0.95
PerugiaAS Ostia Mare
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Perugia signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AS Ostia Mare signalExtérieur failed to score: 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Perugia vs AS Ostia Mare FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Perugia victoire 48%,Nul 28%,AS Ostia Mare victoire 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Plus de 2.5 40% · Current selection Moins de