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ITA Italia - Serie C - Girone B · Partita ·

Perugia vs AS Ostia Mare

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa48%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite24%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 48% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa48% selection probability
Projected score1–1PerugiaAS Ostia Mare
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto60% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
48% / 28% / 24%Esito partitaVittoria casa48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AS Ostia Mare win (24.4%)Doppia Chance1X75.6%1.32
Sopra 40% · Sotto 60%Goals 2.5Sotto60%1.67
Sì 46% · No 54%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54%1.85
2.30 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Perugia win48%2.081.8548.4%
Pareggio28%3.573.2028%
AS Ostia Mare win24%4.173.8023.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Perugia1.35

Casa share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 40% · Sotto 60%

AS Ostia Mare0.95

Trasferta share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Perugia

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

AS Ostia Mare

0.00pts / match
Giocate2Wins0Drawn0Losses2Punti0

SignalTrasferta failed to score: 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vinta probability excluding draw
24%
6
Points from supplied form
0
1.35
Expected goals
0.95
PerugiaAS Ostia Mare
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Perugia signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AS Ostia Mare signalTrasferta failed to score: 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Perugia vs AS Ostia Mare FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Perugia vinta 48%,Pareggio 28%,AS Ostia Mare vinta 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Sopra 2.5 40% · Current selection Sotto