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ITA Italien - Serie C - Gruppe B · Spiel ·

Perugia vs AS Ostia Mare

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg48%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg24%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 48% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg48% selection probability
Projected score1–1PerugiaAS Ostia Mare
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
48% / 28% / 24%SpielergebnisHeimsieg48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AS Ostia Mare win (24.4%)Doppelte Chance1X75.6%1.32
Über 40% · Unter 60%Goals 2.5Unter60%1.67
Ja 46% · Nein 54%Beide Teams treffenNein54%1.85
2.30 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.0 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Perugia win48%2.081.8548.4%
Unentschieden28%3.573.2028%
AS Ostia Mare win24%4.173.8023.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Perugia1.35

Heim share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 40% · Unter 60%

AS Ostia Mare0.95

Auswärts share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nein 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Perugia

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

AS Ostia Mare

0.00pts / match
Gespielt2Wins0Drawn0Losses2Punkte0

SignalAuswärts failed to score: 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
24%
6
Points from supplied form
0
1.35
Expected goals
0.95
PerugiaAS Ostia Mare
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Perugia signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AS Ostia Mare signalAuswärts failed to score: 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Perugia vs AS Ostia Mare FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Perugia Gewinn 48%,Unentschieden 28%,AS Ostia Mare Gewinn 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Über 2.5 40% · Current selection Unter