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ITA Италия - Серия С - Группа B · Матч ·

Перуджа vs АС Остия Маре

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев48%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей24%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 48% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев48% selection probability
Projected score1–1ПеруджаАС Остия Маре
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше60% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
48% / 28% / 24%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes АС Остия Маре win (24.4%)Двойной шанс1X75.6%1.32
Больше 40% · Меньше 60%Goals 2.5Меньше60%1.67
Да 46% · Нет 54%Обе забьютНет54%1.85
2.30 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.0 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Перуджа win48%2.081.8548.4%
Ничья28%3.573.2028%
АС Остия Маре win24%4.173.8023.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Перуджа1.35

Хозяева share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 40% · Меньше 60%

АС Остия Маре0.95

Гости share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Нет 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Перуджа

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

АС Остия Маре

0.00pts / match
Сыграно2Wins0Drawn0Losses2Баллы0

SignalГости failed to score: 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
24%
6
Points from supplied form
0
1.35
Expected goals
0.95
ПеруджаАС Остия Маре
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Перуджа signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02АС Остия Маре signalГости failed to score: 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Перуджа vs АС Остия Маре FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Перуджа выигрыш 48%,Ничья 28%,АС Остия Маре выигрыш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · ТБ 2.5 40% · Current selection Меньше