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ITA Italie - Série C - Groupe B · Match ·

Grosseto vs Spezia

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.29 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile23%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur49%
Market-based forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier B · 49% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur49% selection probability
Projected score1–1GrossetoSpezia
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de60% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
23% / 27% / 49%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Grosseto win (23.3%)Double chanceX276.7%1.30
Plus de 40% · Moins de 60%Goals 2.5Moins de60%1.67
Oui 46% · Non 54%Les deux équipes marquentNon54%1.85
2.29 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Grosseto win23%4.354.1021.8%
Nul27%3.703.3027.1%
Spezia win49%2.041.7551.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Grosseto0.95

Domicile share of expected goals 41.5%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 40% · Moins de 60%

Spezia1.34

Extérieur share of expected goals 58.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 46% · Non 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Grosseto

1.75pts / match
Joués4Wins2Drawn1Losses1Points7

SignalDomicile won 2/4 recent home matches

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Spezia

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Gagné probability excluding draw
49%
7
Points from supplied form
6
0.95
Expected goals
1.34
GrossetoSpezia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Grosseto signalDomicile won 2/4 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Spezia signalExtérieur unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Grosseto vs Spezia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Grosseto victoire 23%,Nul 27%,Spezia victoire 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · Plus de 2.5 40% · Current selection Moins de