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ENG Angleterre - League 2 · Match ·

Accrington Stanley vs Colchester

Archived pre-match prediction

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.14 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile28%
Nul31%
Victoire à l’extérieur41%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Accrington StanleyColchester
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de64% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
28% / 31% / 41%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Accrington Stanley win (28.2%)Double chanceX271.8%1.39
Plus de 36% · Moins de 64%Goals 2.5Moins de64%1.56
Oui 43% · Non 57%Les deux équipes marquentNon57%1.75
2.14 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Accrington Stanley win28%3.57
Nul31%3.23
Colchester win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Accrington Stanley0.89

Domicile share of expected goals 41.6%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 36% · Moins de 64%

Colchester1.25

Extérieur share of expected goals 58.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 43% · Non 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Accrington Stanley

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Colchester

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalExtérieur failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Gagné probability excluding draw
41%
2
Points from supplied form
6
0.89
Expected goals
1.25
Accrington StanleyColchester
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Accrington Stanley signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Colchester signalExtérieur failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Accrington Stanley vs Colchester FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Accrington Stanley victoire 28%,Nul 31%,Colchester victoire 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · Plus de 2.5 36% · Current selection Moins de