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ENG England League 2 · Maç ·

Accrington Stanley vs Colchester

Archived pre-match prediction

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.14 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır28%
Beraberlik31%
Deplasman kazanır41%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Accrington StanleyColchester
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt64% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
28% / 31% / 41%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Accrington Stanley win (28.2%)Çifte ŞansX271.8%1.39
Üst 36% · Alt 64%Goals 2.5Alt64%1.56
Evet 42% · Hayır 58%Karşılıklı gol varHayır58%1.72
2.14 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.9 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Accrington Stanley win28%3.57
Beraberlik31%3.23
Colchester win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Accrington Stanley0.89

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 41.6%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 36% · Alt 64%

Colchester1.25

Deplasman share of expected goals 58.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 42% · Hayır 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Accrington Stanley

0.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puan2

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Colchester

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalDeplasman failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
41%
2
Points from supplied form
6
0.89
Expected goals
1.25
Accrington StanleyColchester
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Accrington Stanley signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Colchester signalDeplasman failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Accrington Stanley vs Colchester FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Accrington Stanley kazanç 28%,Beraberlik 31%,Colchester kazanç 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · 2.5 Üst 36% · Current selection Alt