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ENG Англия - Лига 2 · Мач ·

Акрингтън Стенли vs Колчестър

Archived pre-match prediction

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.14 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина28%
Равен31%
Победа за госта41%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Акрингтън СтенлиКолчестър
Expected goals2.14Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под64% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
28% / 31% / 41%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Акрингтън Стенли win (28.2%)Двоен шансX271.8%1.39
Над 36% · Под 64%Goals 2.5Под64%1.56
Да 43% · Не 57%И двата отбора да отбележатНе57%1.75
2.14 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.9 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Акрингтън Стенли win28%3.57
Равен31%3.23
Колчестър win41%2.44

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Акрингтън Стенли0.89

Домакин share of expected goals 41.6%

Total expected goals2.14Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 36% · Под 64%

Колчестър1.25

Гост share of expected goals 58.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 43% · Не 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Акрингтън Стенли

0.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Точки2

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Колчестър

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalГост failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
41%
2
Points from supplied form
6
0.89
Expected goals
1.25
Акрингтън СтенлиКолчестър
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Акрингтън Стенли signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Колчестър signalГост failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Акрингтън Стенли vs Колчестър FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Акрингтън Стенли печеливш 28%,Равен 31%,Колчестър печеливш 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.14 · Над 2.5 36% · Current selection Под