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INT Portugal - Liga 3 · Final ·

Trofense vs Varzim

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score0–1Pronostic 1–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile33%
Nul30%
Victoire à l’extérieur37%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur37% selection probability
Projected score1–1TrofenseVarzim
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de71% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
33% / 30% / 37%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.2%)Double chance1269.8%1.43
Plus de 29% · Moins de 71%Goals 2.5Moins de71%1.41
Oui 38% · Non 62%Les deux équipes marquentNon62%1.61
1.88 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapVarzim winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Trofense win33%3.032.7532.7%+0.3 pp
Nul30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp
Varzim win37%2.702.4037.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Trofense0.94

Domicile share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 29% · Moins de 71%

Varzim0.94

Extérieur share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 38% · Non 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Trofense

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Varzim

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gagné probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
6
0.94
Expected goals
0.94
TrofenseVarzim
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Trofense signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Varzim signalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Trofense vs Varzim FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Trofense victoire 33%,Nul 30%,Varzim victoire 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · Plus de 2.5 29% · Current selection Moins de