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INT Portugália - Liga 3 · Final ·

Trofense vs Varzim

Prediction review

Hazai form
Final score0–1Előrejelzés 1–1
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem33%
Döntetlen30%
Vendég győzelem37%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Nyert
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem37% selection probability
Projected score1–1TrofenseVarzim
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt71% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
33% / 30% / 37%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.2%)Dupla esély1269.8%1.43
Felett 29% · Alatt 71%Goals 2.5Alatt71%1.41
Igen 38% · Nem 62%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem62%1.61
1.88 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
9.6 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapVarzim winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Trofense win33%3.032.7532.7%+0.3 pp
Döntetlen30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp
Varzim win37%2.702.4037.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Trofense0.94

Hazai share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 29% · Alatt 71%

Varzim0.94

Vendég share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 38% · Nem 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Trofense

0.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Pontok3

SignalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Varzim

1.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontok6

SignalHazai failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Nyert probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
6
0.94
Expected goals
0.94
TrofenseVarzim
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Trofense signalHazai matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Varzim signalHazai failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Trofense vs Varzim FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Trofense nyer 33%,Döntetlen 30%,Varzim nyer 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · 2.5 felett 29% · Current selection Alatt