MatchFormula Zoek een wedstrijd
Menu
UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
INT Portugal - Liga 3 · Wedstrijd ·

Trofense vs Varzim

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.88 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst33%
Gelijkspel30%
Uitwinst37%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst37% selection probability
Projected score1–1TrofenseVarzim
Expected goals1.88Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder71% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
33% / 30% / 37%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.2%)Dubbele Kans1269.8%1.43
Boven 29% · Onder 71%Goals 2.5Onder71%1.41
Ja 38% · Nee 62%Beide teams scorenNee62%1.61
1.88 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapVarzim winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Trofense win33%3.032.7532.7%+0.3 pp
Gelijkspel30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp
Varzim win37%2.702.4037.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Trofense0.94

Thuis share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals1.88Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 29% · Onder 71%

Varzim0.94

Uit share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nee 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Trofense

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Varzim

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
37%
3
Points from supplied form
6
0.94
Expected goals
0.94
TrofenseVarzim
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Trofense signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Varzim signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Trofense vs Varzim FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Trofense gewonnen 33%,Gelijkspel 30%,Varzim gewonnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.88 · Boven 2.5 29% · Current selection Onder