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LTU Lituanie - II Lyga · Match ·

DFK Dainava II vs FKS Ukmerge

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–34.69 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile17%
Nul18%
Victoire à l’extérieur65%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur65% selection probability
Projected score2–3DFK Dainava IIFKS Ukmerge
Expected goals4.69Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de85% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui80% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
17% / 18% / 65%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes DFK Dainava II win (16.9%)Double chanceX283.1%1.20
Plus de 85% · Moins de 15%Goals 2.5Plus de85%1.18
Oui 80% · Non 20%Les deux équipes marquentOui80%1.25
4.69 total expected goalsScore exact2–3
9.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapFKS Ukmerge winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
DFK Dainava II win17%5.885.5016.3%+0.7 pp
Nul18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp
FKS Ukmerge win65%1.541.3665.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

DFK Dainava II1.86

Domicile share of expected goals 39.7%

Total expected goals4.69Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 85% · Moins de 15%

FKS Ukmerge2.83

Extérieur share of expected goals 60.3%

Projected score2–3BTTS splitOui 80% · Non 20%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

DFK Dainava II

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

FKS Ukmerge

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalExtérieur won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Gagné probability excluding draw
65%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.86
Expected goals
2.83
DFK Dainava IIFKS Ukmerge
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01DFK Dainava II signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FKS Ukmerge signalExtérieur won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

DFK Dainava II vs FKS Ukmerge FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 2–3 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

DFK Dainava II victoire 17%,Nul 18%,FKS Ukmerge victoire 65%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.69 · Plus de 2.5 85% · Current selection Plus de