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LTU Lituania - II Lyga · Partido ·

DFK Dainava II vs FKS Ukmerge

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–34.69 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local17%
Empate18%
Victoria visitante65%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 65% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante65% selection probability
Projected score2–3DFK Dainava IIFKS Ukmerge
Expected goals4.69Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de85% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan80% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
17% / 18% / 65%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes DFK Dainava II win (16.9%)Doble OportunidadX283.1%1.20
Más de 85% · Menos de 15%Goals 2.5Más de85%1.18
Sí 80% · No 20%Ambos equipos marcan80%1.25
4.69 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–3
9.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapFKS Ukmerge winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
DFK Dainava II win17%5.885.5016.3%+0.7 pp
Empate18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp
FKS Ukmerge win65%1.541.3665.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

DFK Dainava II1.86

Local share of expected goals 39.7%

Total expected goals4.69Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 85% · Menos de 15%

FKS Ukmerge2.83

Visitante share of expected goals 60.3%

Projected score2–3BTTS split 80% · No 20%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

DFK Dainava II

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

FKS Ukmerge

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalVisitante won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Ganado probability excluding draw
65%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.86
Expected goals
2.83
DFK Dainava IIFKS Ukmerge
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01DFK Dainava II signalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FKS Ukmerge signalVisitante won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

DFK Dainava II vs FKS Ukmerge FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 2–3 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

DFK Dainava II ganada 17%,Empate 18%,FKS Ukmerge ganada 65%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.69 · Más de 2.5 85% · Current selection Más de