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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Partido ·

Guarda Desportiva FC vs F.C. Alpendorada

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.33 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local37%
Empate32%
Victoria visitante32%
Market-based forecastVictoria localTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guarda Desportiva FCF.C. Alpendorada
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de59% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
37% / 32% / 32%Resultado del partidoVictoria local37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.6%)Doble Oportunidad1268.4%1.46
Más de 41% · Menos de 59%Goals 2.5Menos de59%1.69
Sí 49% · No 51%Ambos equipos marcanNo51%1.96
2.33 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNinguno
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guarda Desportiva FC win37%2.702.5035.9%
Empate32%3.132.8032.1%
F.C. Alpendorada win32%3.132.8032.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guarda Desportiva FC1.24

Local share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 41% · Menos de 59%

F.C. Alpendorada1.09

Visitante share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 49% · No 51%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Guarda Desportiva FC

0.00pts / match
Jugados0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Puntos0

SignalVisitante won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

F.C. Alpendorada

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalVisitante clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Ganado probability excluding draw
32%
0
Points from supplied form
9
1.24
Expected goals
1.09
Guarda Desportiva FCF.C. Alpendorada
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guarda Desportiva FC signalVisitante won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02F.C. Alpendorada signalVisitante clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Guarda Desportiva FC vs F.C. Alpendorada FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guarda Desportiva FC ganada 37%,Empate 32%,F.C. Alpendorada ganada 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Más de 2.5 41% · Current selection Menos de