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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Kamp ·

Guarda Desportiva vs FC Alpendorada

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.33 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr37%
Uafgjort32%
Udesejr32%
Market-based forecastHjemmesejrTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guarda DesportivaFC Alpendorada
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under59% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
37% / 32% / 32%KampresultatHjemmesejr37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.6%)Dobbeltchance1268.4%1.46
Over 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69
Ja 49% · Nej 51%Begge hold scorerNej51%1.96
2.33 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guarda Desportiva win37%2.702.5035.9%
Uafgjort32%3.132.8032.1%
FC Alpendorada win32%3.132.8032.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guarda Desportiva1.24

Hjemme share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 41% · Under 59%

FC Alpendorada1.09

Ude share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nej 51%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Guarda Desportiva

0.00pts / match
Spillet0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Point0

SignalUde won 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

FC Alpendorada

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalUde clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vundet probability excluding draw
32%
0
Points from supplied form
9
1.24
Expected goals
1.09
Guarda DesportivaFC Alpendorada
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guarda Desportiva signalUde won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Alpendorada signalUde clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Guarda Desportiva vs FC Alpendorada FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guarda Desportiva vundet 37%,Uafgjort 32%,FC Alpendorada vundet 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Over 2.5 41% · Current selection Under