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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Match ·

Guarda Desportiva vs FC Alpendorada

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.33 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile37%
Nul32%
Victoire à l’extérieur32%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guarda DesportivaFC Alpendorada
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de59% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
37% / 32% / 32%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.6%)Double chance1268.4%1.46
Plus de 41% · Moins de 59%Goals 2.5Moins de59%1.69
Oui 49% · Non 51%Les deux équipes marquentNon51%1.96
2.33 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guarda Desportiva win37%2.702.5035.9%
Nul32%3.132.8032.1%
FC Alpendorada win32%3.132.8032.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guarda Desportiva1.24

Domicile share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 41% · Moins de 59%

FC Alpendorada1.09

Extérieur share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 49% · Non 51%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Guarda Desportiva

0.00pts / match
Joués0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalExtérieur won 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

FC Alpendorada

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalExtérieur clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gagné probability excluding draw
32%
0
Points from supplied form
9
1.24
Expected goals
1.09
Guarda DesportivaFC Alpendorada
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guarda Desportiva signalExtérieur won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Alpendorada signalExtérieur clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Guarda Desportiva vs FC Alpendorada FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guarda Desportiva victoire 37%,Nul 32%,FC Alpendorada victoire 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Plus de 2.5 41% · Current selection Moins de