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MEX México - Liga de Expansión · Partido ·

Tlaxcala FC vs Venados FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–23.73 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local36%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante38%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante38% selection probability
Projected score2–2Tlaxcala FCVenados FC
Expected goals3.73Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de72% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan72% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
36% / 25% / 38%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Doble Oportunidad1274.6%1.34
Más de 72% · Menos de 28%Goals 2.5Más de72%1.39
Sí 72% · No 28%Ambos equipos marcan72%1.39
3.73 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–2
9.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Tlaxcala FC win36%2.78
Empate25%4.00
Venados FC win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tlaxcala FC1.82

Local share of expected goals 48.8%

Total expected goals3.73Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 72% · Menos de 28%

Venados FC1.91

Visitante share of expected goals 51.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 72% · No 28%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Tlaxcala FC

0.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puntos1

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Venados FC

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Ganado probability excluding draw
38%
1
Points from supplied form
10
1.82
Expected goals
1.91
Tlaxcala FCVenados FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tlaxcala FC signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Venados FC signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Tlaxcala FC vs Venados FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tlaxcala FC ganada 36%,Empate 25%,Venados FC ganada 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.73 · Más de 2.5 72% · Current selection Más de