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MEX Μεξικό - Liga de Expansion · Αγώνας ·

Τλαξκαλά FC vs Βενάντος ΦΚ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–23.73 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου36%
Ισοπαλία25%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου38%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου38% selection probability
Projected score2–2Τλαξκαλά FCΒενάντος ΦΚ
Expected goals3.73Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω72% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι72% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
36% / 25% / 38%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1274.6%1.34
Άνω 72% · Κάτω 28%Goals 2.5Άνω72%1.39
Ναι 72% · Όχι 28%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι72%1.39
3.73 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–2
9.3 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Τλαξκαλά FC win36%2.78
Ισοπαλία25%4.00
Βενάντος ΦΚ win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Τλαξκαλά FC1.82

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 48.8%

Total expected goals3.73Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 72% · Κάτω 28%

Βενάντος ΦΚ1.91

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 51.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitΝαι 72% · Όχι 28%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Τλαξκαλά FC

0.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Πόντοι1

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Βενάντος ΦΚ

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
38%
1
Points from supplied form
10
1.82
Expected goals
1.91
Τλαξκαλά FCΒενάντος ΦΚ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Τλαξκαλά FC signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Βενάντος ΦΚ signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Τλαξκαλά FC vs Βενάντος ΦΚ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Τλαξκαλά FC νίκη 36%,Ισοπαλία 25%,Βενάντος ΦΚ νίκη 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.73 · Άνω 2.5 72% · Current selection Άνω