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MEX Meksyk - Liga de Expansion · Mecz ·

Tlaxcala FC vs Venados FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–23.73 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy36%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości38%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości38% selection probability
Projected score2–2Tlaxcala FCVenados FC
Expected goals3.73Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej72% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak72% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
36% / 25% / 38%Wynik meczuWygrana gości38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Podwójna szansa1274.6%1.34
Powyżej 72% · Poniżej 28%Goals 2.5Powyżej72%1.39
Tak 72% · Nie 28%Obie drużyny strzeląTak72%1.39
3.73 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–2
9.3 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Tlaxcala FC win36%2.78
Remis25%4.00
Venados FC win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tlaxcala FC1.82

Gospodarze share of expected goals 48.8%

Total expected goals3.73Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 72% · Poniżej 28%

Venados FC1.91

Goście share of expected goals 51.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitTak 72% · Nie 28%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Tlaxcala FC

0.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkty1

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Venados FC

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGoście unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
38%
1
Points from supplied form
10
1.82
Expected goals
1.91
Tlaxcala FCVenados FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tlaxcala FC signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Venados FC signalGoście unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Tlaxcala FC vs Venados FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tlaxcala FC wygrana 36%,Remis 25%,Venados FC wygrana 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.73 · Powyżej 2.5 72% · Current selection Powyżej