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BRA Brasil - Serie B · Final ·

Vila Nova vs Sport Recife

Prediction review

Local form
Final score0–1Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local40%
Empate31%
Victoria visitante29%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Vila NovaSport Recife
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de54% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
40% / 31% / 29%Resultado del partidoVictoria local40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sport Recife win (28.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X71.3%1.40
Más de 46% · Menos de 54%Goals 2.5Menos de54%1.85
Sí 51% · No 49%Ambos equipos marcan51%1.96
2.50 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.3 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapSport Recife winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vila Nova win40%2.502.3040.6%-0.6 pp
Empate31%3.233.0031.1%-0.1 pp
Sport Recife win29%3.453.3028.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vila Nova1.30

Local share of expected goals 52%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 46% · Menos de 54%

Sport Recife1.20

Visitante share of expected goals 48%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Vila Nova

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal failed to score: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Sport Recife

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Puntos4

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Ganado probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.30
Expected goals
1.20
Vila NovaSport Recife
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vila Nova signalLocal failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sport Recife signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Vila Nova vs Sport Recife FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vila Nova ganada 40%,Empate 31%,Sport Recife ganada 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Más de 2.5 46% · Current selection Menos de