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BRA Brazil Serie B · Final ·

Vila Nova vs Sport Recife

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score0–1Prognose 1–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier40%
Uavgjort31%
Borteseier29%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Vila NovaSport Recife
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
40% / 31% / 29%KampresultatHjemmeseier40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sport Recife win (28.7%)Dobbel sjanse1X71.3%1.40
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 51% · Nei 49%Begge lag scorerJa51%1.96
2.50 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapSport Recife winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vila Nova win40%2.502.3040.6%-0.6 pp
Uavgjort31%3.233.0031.1%-0.1 pp
Sport Recife win29%3.453.3028.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vila Nova1.30

Hjemme share of expected goals 52%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

Sport Recife1.20

Borte share of expected goals 48%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nei 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Vila Nova

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Sport Recife

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Poeng4

SignalBorte unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.30
Expected goals
1.20
Vila NovaSport Recife
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vila Nova signalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sport Recife signalBorte unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Vila Nova vs Sport Recife FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vila Nova vunnet 40%,Uavgjort 31%,Sport Recife vunnet 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under