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ENG Αγγλία - Νάσιοναλ Λιγκ · Round 1 ·

Καρλάιλ vs Γουόρθινγκ

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου43%
Ισοπαλία25%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου32%
Baseline forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου43% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΚαρλάιλΓουόρθινγκ
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω55% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
43% / 25% / 32%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1275.4%1.33
Άνω 55% · Κάτω 45%Goals 2.5Άνω55%1.82
Ναι 58% · Όχι 42%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι58%1.72
2.88 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.9 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Καρλάιλ win43%2.33
Ισοπαλία25%4.00
Γουόρθινγκ win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Καρλάιλ1.57

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 54.5%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 55% · Κάτω 45%

Γουόρθινγκ1.31

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 45.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 58% · Όχι 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Καρλάιλ

2.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Πόντοι11

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Γουόρθινγκ

2.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Πόντοι12

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
32%
11
Points from supplied form
12
1.57
Expected goals
1.31
ΚαρλάιλΓουόρθινγκ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Καρλάιλ signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Γουόρθινγκ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Καρλάιλ vs Γουόρθινγκ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Καρλάιλ νίκη 43%,Ισοπαλία 25%,Γουόρθινγκ νίκη 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Άνω 2.5 55% · Current selection Άνω