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ENG Англия - Национална Лига · Round 1 ·

Карлайл vs Уъртинг

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина43%
Равен25%
Победа за госта32%
Baseline forecastПобеда за домакинаTier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина43% selection probability
Projected score2–1КарлайлУъртинг
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над55% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
43% / 25% / 32%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Двоен шанс1275.4%1.33
Над 55% · Под 45%Goals 2.5Над55%1.82
Да 58% · Не 42%И двата отбора да отбележатДа58%1.72
2.88 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.9 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Карлайл win43%2.33
Равен25%4.00
Уъртинг win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Карлайл1.57

Домакин share of expected goals 54.5%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 55% · Под 45%

Уъртинг1.31

Гост share of expected goals 45.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 58% · Не 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Карлайл

2.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Точки11

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Уъртинг

2.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Точки12

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
32%
11
Points from supplied form
12
1.57
Expected goals
1.31
КарлайлУъртинг
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Карлайл signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Уъртинг signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Карлайл vs Уъртинг FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Карлайл печеливш 43%,Равен 25%,Уъртинг печеливш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Над 2.5 55% · Current selection Над