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CHE Schweiz - Challenge League · Spiel ·

Etoile Carouge vs FC Rapperswil-Jona

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg48%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg28%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Etoile CarougeFC Rapperswil-Jona
Expected goals3.08Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
48% / 24% / 28%SpielergebnisHeimsieg48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.1%)Doppelte Chance1275.9%1.32
Über 60% · Unter 40%Goals 2.5Über60%1.67
Ja 61% · Nein 39%Beide Teams treffenJa61%1.64
3.08 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.3%Largest probability gapFC Rapperswil-Jona winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Etoile Carouge win48%2.081.9048.2%-0.2 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.8024.1%-0.1 pp
FC Rapperswil-Jona win28%3.573.3027.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Etoile Carouge1.73

Heim share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals3.08Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 60% · Unter 40%

FC Rapperswil-Jona1.35

Auswärts share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nein 39%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Etoile Carouge

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FC Rapperswil-Jona

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalAuswärts failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.73
Expected goals
1.35
Etoile CarougeFC Rapperswil-Jona
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Etoile Carouge signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Rapperswil-Jona signalAuswärts failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Etoile Carouge vs FC Rapperswil-Jona FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Etoile Carouge Gewinn 48%,Unentschieden 24%,FC Rapperswil-Jona Gewinn 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Über 2.5 60% · Current selection Über