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CHE Suisse - Challenge League · Match ·

Étoile Carouge vs FC Rapperswil-Jona

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile48%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur28%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Étoile CarougeFC Rapperswil-Jona
Expected goals3.08Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de60% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
48% / 24% / 28%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.1%)Double chance1275.9%1.32
Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%Goals 2.5Plus de60%1.67
Oui 61% · Non 39%Les deux équipes marquentOui61%1.64
3.08 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.3%Largest probability gapFC Rapperswil-Jona winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Étoile Carouge win48%2.081.9048.2%-0.2 pp
Nul24%4.173.8024.1%-0.1 pp
FC Rapperswil-Jona win28%3.573.3027.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Étoile Carouge1.73

Domicile share of expected goals 56.2%

Total expected goals3.08Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%

FC Rapperswil-Jona1.35

Extérieur share of expected goals 43.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 61% · Non 39%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Étoile Carouge

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

FC Rapperswil-Jona

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalExtérieur failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gagné probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.73
Expected goals
1.35
Étoile CarougeFC Rapperswil-Jona
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Étoile Carouge signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Rapperswil-Jona signalExtérieur failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Étoile Carouge vs FC Rapperswil-Jona FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Étoile Carouge victoire 48%,Nul 24%,FC Rapperswil-Jona victoire 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Plus de 2.5 60% · Current selection Plus de