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INT Peru - Liga 2 · Spiel ·

CD Universidad San Martin vs Club Ada Jaen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.23 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg52%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg19%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg52% selection probability
Projected score2–1CD Universidad San MartinClub Ada Jaen
Expected goals2.23Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter62% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
52% / 29% / 19%SpielergebnisHeimsieg52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Club Ada Jaen win (19.3%)Doppelte Chance1X80.7%1.24
Über 38% · Unter 62%Goals 2.5Unter62%1.61
Ja 38% · Nein 62%Beide Teams treffenNein62%1.61
2.23 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
CD Universidad San Martin win52%1.92
Unentschieden29%3.45
Club Ada Jaen win19%5.26

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Universidad San Martin1.59

Heim share of expected goals 71.3%

Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 38% · Unter 62%

Club Ada Jaen0.64

Auswärts share of expected goals 28.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nein 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

CD Universidad San Martin

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Club Ada Jaen

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
19%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.59
Expected goals
0.64
CD Universidad San MartinClub Ada Jaen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Universidad San Martin signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Ada Jaen signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

CD Universidad San Martin vs Club Ada Jaen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Universidad San Martin Gewinn 52%,Unentschieden 29%,Club Ada Jaen Gewinn 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.23 · Über 2.5 38% · Current selection Unter