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INT Peru - Liga 2 · Partida ·

CD Universidad San Martín vs Club Ada Jaen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.23 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa47%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante25%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa47% selection probability
Projected score2–1CD Universidad San MartínClub Ada Jaen
Expected goals2.23Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo62% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
47% / 28% / 25%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Club Ada Jaen win (24.6%)Dupla Chance1X75.4%1.33
Acima 38% · Abaixo 62%Goals 2.5Abaixo62%1.61
Sim 38% · Não 62%Ambas as equipes marcamNão62%1.61
2.23 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapCD Universidad San Martín winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Universidad San Martín win47%2.131.9546.2%+0.8 pp
Empate28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
Club Ada Jaen win25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Universidad San Martín1.59

Mandante share of expected goals 71.3%

Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 38% · Abaixo 62%

Club Ada Jaen0.64

Visitante share of expected goals 28.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 38% · Não 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

CD Universidad San Martín

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Club Ada Jaen

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
25%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.59
Expected goals
0.64
CD Universidad San MartínClub Ada Jaen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Universidad San Martín signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Ada Jaen signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CD Universidad San Martín vs Club Ada Jaen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Universidad San Martín ganhou 47%,Empate 28%,Club Ada Jaen ganhou 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.23 · Acima 2.5 38% · Current selection Abaixo