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INT Перу - Лига 2 · Матч ·

Универсидад Сан-Мартин vs Куба Ада Джаен

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.23 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев47%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей25%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Универсидад Сан-МартинКуба Ада Джаен
Expected goals2.23Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше62% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
47% / 28% / 25%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Куба Ада Джаен win (24.6%)Двойной шанс1X75.4%1.33
Больше 38% · Меньше 62%Goals 2.5Меньше62%1.61
Да 38% · Нет 62%Обе забьютНет62%1.61
2.23 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.3 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapУниверсидад Сан-Мартин winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Универсидад Сан-Мартин win47%2.131.9546.2%+0.8 pp
Ничья28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
Куба Ада Джаен win25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Универсидад Сан-Мартин1.59

Хозяева share of expected goals 71.3%

Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 38% · Меньше 62%

Куба Ада Джаен0.64

Гости share of expected goals 28.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 38% · Нет 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Универсидад Сан-Мартин

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Куба Ада Джаен

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
25%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.59
Expected goals
0.64
Универсидад Сан-МартинКуба Ада Джаен
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Универсидад Сан-Мартин signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Куба Ада Джаен signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Универсидад Сан-Мартин vs Куба Ада Джаен FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Универсидад Сан-Мартин выигрыш 47%,Ничья 28%,Куба Ада Джаен выигрыш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.23 · ТБ 2.5 38% · Current selection Меньше