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INT Perú - Liga 2 · Partido ·

CD Universidad San Martín vs Club Ada Jaen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.23 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local47%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante25%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local47% selection probability
Projected score2–1CD Universidad San MartínClub Ada Jaen
Expected goals2.23Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de62% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
47% / 28% / 25%Resultado del partidoVictoria local47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Club Ada Jaen win (24.6%)Doble Oportunidad1X75.4%1.33
Más de 38% · Menos de 62%Goals 2.5Menos de62%1.61
Sí 38% · No 62%Ambos equipos marcanNo62%1.61
2.23 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapCD Universidad San Martín winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Universidad San Martín win47%2.131.9546.2%+0.8 pp
Empate28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
Club Ada Jaen win25%4.003.5025.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Universidad San Martín1.59

Local share of expected goals 71.3%

Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 38% · Menos de 62%

Club Ada Jaen0.64

Visitante share of expected goals 28.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

CD Universidad San Martín

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Club Ada Jaen

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Ganado probability excluding draw
25%
6
Points from supplied form
5
1.59
Expected goals
0.64
CD Universidad San MartínClub Ada Jaen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Universidad San Martín signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Ada Jaen signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

CD Universidad San Martín vs Club Ada Jaen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Universidad San Martín ganada 47%,Empate 28%,Club Ada Jaen ganada 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.23 · Más de 2.5 38% · Current selection Menos de