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ENG England - League 1 · Spiel ·

Mansfield vs Doncaster

Archived pre-match prediction

Heim form
Projected score2–12.46 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg51%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg21%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg51% selection probability
Projected score2–1MansfieldDoncaster
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter55% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
51% / 28% / 21%SpielergebnisHeimsieg51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Doncaster win (21.3%)Doppelte Chance1X78.7%1.27
Über 45% · Unter 55%Goals 2.5Unter55%1.82
Ja 44% · Nein 56%Beide Teams treffenNein56%1.79
2.46 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.9 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Mansfield win51%1.96
Unentschieden28%3.57
Doncaster win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mansfield1.69

Heim share of expected goals 68.7%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 45% · Unter 55%

Doncaster0.77

Auswärts share of expected goals 31.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nein 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Mansfield

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Doncaster

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
21%
11
Points from supplied form
8
1.69
Expected goals
0.77
MansfieldDoncaster
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mansfield signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Doncaster signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Mansfield vs Doncaster FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mansfield Gewinn 51%,Unentschieden 28%,Doncaster Gewinn 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Über 2.5 45% · Current selection Unter