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ENG 英格蘭甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

曼斯菲特 vs 顿卡斯特

Archived pre-match prediction

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.46 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝51%
28%
客勝21%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝51% selection probability
Projected score2–1曼斯菲特顿卡斯特
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.555% for the selected side
雙方進球56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
51% / 28% / 21%比賽結果主勝51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 顿卡斯特 win (21.3%)雙重機會1X78.7%1.27
大 45% · 小 55%Goals 2.555%1.82
是 44% · 否 56%雙方進球56%1.79
2.46 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.9 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
曼斯菲特 win51%1.96
28%3.57
顿卡斯特 win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

曼斯菲特1.69

主隊 share of expected goals 68.7%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 45% · 55%

顿卡斯特0.77

客隊 share of expected goals 31.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 44% · 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

曼斯菲特

2.20pts / match
5Wins3Drawn2Losses0積分11

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

顿卡斯特

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
贏 probability excluding draw
21%
11
Points from supplied form
8
1.69
Expected goals
0.77
曼斯菲特顿卡斯特
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01曼斯菲特 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02顿卡斯特 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

曼斯菲特 vs 顿卡斯特 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

曼斯菲特 51%, 28%,顿卡斯特 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · 大2.5 45% · Current selection