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ENG England League 1 · Kamp ·

Mansfield vs Doncaster

Archived pre-match prediction

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.46 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier51%
Uavgjort28%
Borteseier21%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier51% selection probability
Projected score2–1MansfieldDoncaster
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under55% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
51% / 28% / 21%KampresultatHjemmeseier51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Doncaster win (21.3%)Dobbel sjanse1X78.7%1.27
Over 45% · Under 55%Goals 2.5Under55%1.82
Ja 44% · Nei 56%Begge lag scorerNei56%1.79
2.46 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Mansfield win51%1.96
Uavgjort28%3.57
Doncaster win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mansfield1.69

Hjemme share of expected goals 68.7%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 45% · Under 55%

Doncaster0.77

Borte share of expected goals 31.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 44% · Nei 56%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Mansfield

2.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poeng11

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Doncaster

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
21%
11
Points from supplied form
8
1.69
Expected goals
0.77
MansfieldDoncaster
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mansfield signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Doncaster signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Mansfield vs Doncaster FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mansfield vunnet 51%,Uavgjort 28%,Doncaster vunnet 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Over 2.5 45% · Current selection Under