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Young Boys Bern vs FC Basel

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–24.00 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg49%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg27%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg49% selection probability
Projected score2–2Young Boys BernFC Basel
Expected goals4.00Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über76% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa72% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
49% / 24% / 27%SpielergebnisHeimsieg49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Doppelte Chance1276.3%1.31
Über 76% · Unter 24%Goals 2.5Über76%1.32
Ja 72% · Nein 28%Beide Teams treffenJa72%1.39
4.00 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
10.1 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Young Boys Bern win49%2.04
Unentschieden24%4.17
FC Basel win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Young Boys Bern2.45

Heim share of expected goals 61.3%

Total expected goals4.00Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 76% · Unter 24%

FC Basel1.55

Auswärts share of expected goals 38.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 72% · Nein 28%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Young Boys Bern

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FC Basel

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
27%
13
Points from supplied form
12
2.45
Expected goals
1.55
Young Boys BernFC Basel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Young Boys Bern signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Basel signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Young Boys Bern vs FC Basel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Young Boys Bern Gewinn 49%,Unentschieden 24%,FC Basel Gewinn 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.00 · Über 2.5 76% · Current selection Über