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CHE Switzerland Super League · Kamp ·

Young Boys vs Basel

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–24.00 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier49%
Uavgjort24%
Borteseier27%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier49% selection probability
Projected score2–2Young BoysBasel
Expected goals4.00Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over76% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa72% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
49% / 24% / 27%KampresultatHjemmeseier49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Dobbel sjanse1276.3%1.31
Over 76% · Under 24%Goals 2.5Over76%1.32
Ja 72% · Nei 28%Begge lag scorerJa72%1.39
4.00 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
10.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Young Boys win49%2.04
Uavgjort24%4.17
Basel win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Young Boys2.45

Hjemme share of expected goals 61.3%

Total expected goals4.00Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 76% · Under 24%

Basel1.55

Borte share of expected goals 38.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 72% · Nei 28%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Young Boys

2.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poeng13

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Basel

2.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poeng12

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
27%
13
Points from supplied form
12
2.45
Expected goals
1.55
Young BoysBasel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Young Boys signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Basel signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Young Boys vs Basel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Young Boys vunnet 49%,Uavgjort 24%,Basel vunnet 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.00 · Over 2.5 76% · Current selection Over