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INT Emirates Cup · Kamp ·

Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.63 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr54%
Uafgjort23%
Udesejr23%
Market-based forecastHjemmesejrTier B · 54% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr54% selection probability
Projected score2–1ArsenalBorussia Dortmund
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0Nej corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
54% / 23% / 23%KampresultatHjemmesejr54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Borussia Dortmund win (22.9%)Dobbeltchance1X77.1%1.30
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Begge hold scorerJa51%1.96
2.63 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
0.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkNej corner projection
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arsenal win54%1.851.6555.1%
Uafgjort23%4.354.0022.7%
Borussia Dortmund win23%4.354.1022.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arsenal1.61

Hjemme share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Borussia Dortmund1.02

Ude share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Arsenal

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Borussia Dortmund

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Vundet probability excluding draw
23%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.61
Expected goals
1.02
ArsenalBorussia Dortmund
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arsenal signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Borussia Dortmund signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arsenal vundet 54%,Uafgjort 23%,Borussia Dortmund vundet 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under