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INT Emirates Cup · Match ·

Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger57%
Oavgjort23%
Bortaseger20%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger57% selection probability
Projected score2–1ArsenalBorussia Dortmund
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under50% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0Nej corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
57% / 23% / 20%MatchresultatHemmaseger57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Borussia Dortmund win (20.1%)Dubbelchans1X79.9%1.25
Över 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Båda lagen gör målJa51%1.96
2.64 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
0.0 expected match cornersHörnorNej corner projection
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arsenal win57%1.751.5558.7%
Oavgjort23%4.354.1022.2%
Borussia Dortmund win20%5.004.7519.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arsenal1.66

Hemma share of expected goals 62.9%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 50% · Under 50%

Borussia Dortmund0.98

Borta share of expected goals 37.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Arsenal

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Borussia Dortmund

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
20%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.66
Expected goals
0.98
ArsenalBorussia Dortmund
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arsenal signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Borussia Dortmund signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arsenal vunnen 57%,Oavgjort 23%,Borussia Dortmund vunnen 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Över 2.5 50% · Current selection Under