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INT Emirates Cup · Meci ·

Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde57%
Egal23%
Victorie oaspeți20%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde57% selection probability
Projected score2–1ArsenalBorussia Dortmund
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub50% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa51% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0Nu corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
57% / 23% / 20%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Borussia Dortmund win (20.1%)Șansă dublă1X79.9%1.25
Peste 50% · Sub 50%Goals 2.5Sub50%2.00
Da 51% · Nu 49%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa51%1.96
2.64 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
0.0 expected match cornersCornereNu corner projection
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arsenal win57%1.751.5558.7%
Egal23%4.354.1022.2%
Borussia Dortmund win20%5.004.7519.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arsenal1.66

Gazde share of expected goals 62.9%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 50% · Sub 50%

Borussia Dortmund0.98

Oaspeți share of expected goals 37.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 51% · Nu 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Arsenal

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde won 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Borussia Dortmund

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Câștig probability excluding draw
20%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.66
Expected goals
0.98
ArsenalBorussia Dortmund
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arsenal signalGazde won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Borussia Dortmund signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arsenal câștig 57%,Egal 23%,Borussia Dortmund câștig 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Peste 2.5 50% · Current selection Sub