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MWI Malawi Super League · Мач ·

Nyasa Big Bullets FC vs Chitipa United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.25 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина60%
Равен26%
Победа за госта14%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Nyasa Big Bullets FCChitipa United
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под61% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе62% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
60% / 26% / 14%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chitipa United win (13.8%)Двоен шанс1X86.2%1.16
Над 39% · Под 61%Goals 2.5Под61%1.64
Да 38% · Не 62%И двата отбора да отбележатНе62%1.61
2.25 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
7.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nyasa Big Bullets FC win60%1.671.5059.8%+0.2 pp
Равен26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
Chitipa United win14%7.146.5013.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nyasa Big Bullets FC1.62

Домакин share of expected goals 72%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 39% · Под 61%

Chitipa United0.63

Гост share of expected goals 28%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 38% · Не 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Nyasa Big Bullets FC

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Chitipa United

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
14%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.62
Expected goals
0.63
Nyasa Big Bullets FCChitipa United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nyasa Big Bullets FC signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chitipa United signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Nyasa Big Bullets FC vs Chitipa United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nyasa Big Bullets FC печеливш 60%,Равен 26%,Chitipa United печеливш 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Над 2.5 39% · Current selection Под