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MWI Malawi Super League · Match ·

Nyasa Big Bullets FC vs Chitipa United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.25 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile60%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur14%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Nyasa Big Bullets FCChitipa United
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de61% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon62% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
60% / 26% / 14%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Chitipa United win (13.8%)Double chance1X86.2%1.16
Plus de 39% · Moins de 61%Goals 2.5Moins de61%1.64
Oui 38% · Non 62%Les deux équipes marquentNon62%1.61
2.25 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
7.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nyasa Big Bullets FC win60%1.671.5059.8%+0.2 pp
Nul26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
Chitipa United win14%7.146.5013.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nyasa Big Bullets FC1.62

Domicile share of expected goals 72%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 39% · Moins de 61%

Chitipa United0.63

Extérieur share of expected goals 28%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 38% · Non 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Nyasa Big Bullets FC

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Chitipa United

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gagné probability excluding draw
14%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.62
Expected goals
0.63
Nyasa Big Bullets FCChitipa United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nyasa Big Bullets FC signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chitipa United signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Nyasa Big Bullets FC vs Chitipa United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nyasa Big Bullets FC victoire 60%,Nul 26%,Chitipa United victoire 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Plus de 2.5 39% · Current selection Moins de