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INT 伊拉克Stars聯賽 · Final ·

阿比爾 vs 巴格達空軍

Prediction review

主隊 form
Final score1–1預測 1–1
客隊 form
主勝37%
31%
客勝32%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction 未命中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝37% selection probability
Projected score1–1阿比爾巴格達空軍
Expected goals2.21Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.562% for the selected side
雙方進球55% for the selected side
Expected corners7.6小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
37% / 31% / 32%比賽結果主勝37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.9%)雙重機會1269.1%1.45
大 38% · 小 62%Goals 2.562%1.61
是 45% · 否 55%雙方進球55%1.82
2.21 total expected goals正確比分1–1
7.6 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
阿比爾 win37%2.70
31%3.23
巴格達空軍 win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

阿比爾1.19

主隊 share of expected goals 53.8%

Total expected goals2.21Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 38% · 62%

巴格達空軍1.02

客隊 share of expected goals 46.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 45% · 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

阿比爾

2.40pts / match
5Wins4Drawn0Losses1積分12

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

巴格達空軍

2.60pts / match
5Wins4Drawn1Losses0積分13

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
贏 probability excluding draw
32%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.19
Expected goals
1.02
阿比爾巴格達空軍
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01阿比爾 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02巴格達空軍 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

阿比爾 vs 巴格達空軍 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

阿比爾 37%, 31%,巴格達空軍 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.21 · 大2.5 38% · Current selection