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INT Irak - Stars League · Final ·

Erbil SC vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score1–1Predicție 1–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde37%
Egal31%
Victorie oaspeți32%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Pierdut
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Erbil SCAl Quwa Al Jawiya
Expected goals2.21Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub62% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu55% for the selected side
Expected corners7.6Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
37% / 31% / 32%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.9%)Șansă dublă1269.1%1.45
Peste 38% · Sub 62%Goals 2.5Sub62%1.61
Da 45% · Nu 55%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu55%1.82
2.21 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
7.6 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Erbil SC win37%2.70
Egal31%3.23
Al Quwa Al Jawiya win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Erbil SC1.19

Gazde share of expected goals 53.8%

Total expected goals2.21Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 38% · Sub 62%

Al Quwa Al Jawiya1.02

Oaspeți share of expected goals 46.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 45% · Nu 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Erbil SC

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Câștig probability excluding draw
32%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.19
Expected goals
1.02
Erbil SCAl Quwa Al Jawiya
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Erbil SC signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Quwa Al Jawiya signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Erbil SC vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Erbil SC câștig 37%,Egal 31%,Al Quwa Al Jawiya câștig 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.21 · Peste 2.5 38% · Current selection Sub