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INT Irak - Stars League · Final ·

Erbil SC vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–1Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst37%
Gelijkspel31%
Uitwinst32%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Erbil SCAl Quwa Al Jawiya
Expected goals2.21Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder62% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee55% for the selected side
Expected corners7.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
37% / 31% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.9%)Dubbele Kans1269.1%1.45
Boven 38% · Onder 62%Goals 2.5Onder62%1.61
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
2.21 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
7.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Erbil SC win37%2.70
Gelijkspel31%3.23
Al Quwa Al Jawiya win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Erbil SC1.19

Thuis share of expected goals 53.8%

Total expected goals2.21Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 38% · Onder 62%

Al Quwa Al Jawiya1.02

Uit share of expected goals 46.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Erbil SC

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
12
Points from supplied form
13
1.19
Expected goals
1.02
Erbil SCAl Quwa Al Jawiya
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Erbil SC signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Quwa Al Jawiya signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Erbil SC vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Erbil SC gewonnen 37%,Gelijkspel 31%,Al Quwa Al Jawiya gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.21 · Boven 2.5 38% · Current selection Onder